7.25.2020

Eliteserien Round 10 - In my defense

One of the biggest differences between Eliteserien (ESF) and Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is defense. White Sheets is much more synonymous with FPL than ESF, which causes most of us to choose our defenders based on their Attack Potential (AP) instead of their White Sheet Potential (CSP). Regardless of whether you play ESF, FPL or any other fantasy football game, maximizing your score should always be a priority. This method is generally different.

After 9 weeks of play, we saw 35 goals conceded. That is over 0.5 per game or 4.1 per game week. In the Premier League, however, the numbers rise to 0.6 goals per game or 5.5 per game week. When it comes to Fantasy Football CSP, your chances of conceding a goal with ESF are much less favorable than with FPL.

This is partly because there are only 8 sets per week instead of 8, but also because there are generally fewer clean leaves.

And here, in my opinion, the biggest challenge is building a strong ESF team. Who are you defending yourself for? Although CSP in FSE is somewhat limited if you are used to playing FPL, it does not mean that there will never be zeros or that you should completely ignore a team / defender that it could be. benefit from. It should definitely be part of your decision making, but more importantly, you should check out AP. (The same logic applies to FPL because you want to maximize your point potential, but it is probably more important than AP to play AP when playing ESF over FPL.)

Who has a place in the void of Modric Bohinen? Who is really in their own league? To find out, let's focus on the following 10 defenders:

1. Andreas Hanche-Olsen (47 points)

2. Ivan Nasberg (42 points)

3. Vegar Eggen Hedenstad (39 points)

4. Tore Reginiussen (37 points)

5. Gustav Valsvik (37 points)

6. Vetle Winger Dragsnes (37 points)

7. John Kitolano (36 points)

8. Mats Solheim (35 points)

9. Christian Borchgrevink (35 points)

10.Markus Nakkim (34 points)

And the following categories:

1. Goals / clean sheets

2. Help (total)

3. Shots / shots at the target

4. Pass / Exist / Accuracy of Success%

5. Precise opposing half passes / third final

6. Key cards and great opportunities created

7. Precise crosses

8. Interceptions / tackles

Regardless of position, the main thing in fantasy football is whether you play in Sweden, Germany or Romania to collect points. And this is the case in the ESF, as in the FPL, most points will come from the implication of the goals. That's why I see the same categories as when we analyzed our top midfielders. Knowing who is most involved in the attack game, how likely it is to score and play important passes is critical to our decision-making process if we want to maximize our potential point return. I have also included special crosses as we are very likely interested in attacking runners / wingers (plus OOP defenders who play in midfield), as well as conceding goals for obvious reasons and intercepting / tackling for reasons of BFP.

1) Goals / clean sheets

Only 17 defenders scored in the first nine weeks of play. Of our list of top 10 defenders, only four have yet to score. Hanche-Olsen and Dragsnes have two goals, while Valsvik, Kitolano, Nasberg and Nakkim have one. Hedenstad, Reginiussen, Borchgrevink and Solheim are none. It's not really a metric that I would call foolproof when it comes to measuring the inherent value of a fantasy defender, but it does give an insight into the different types of impact these players can have on their teams.

For example, Hanche-Olsen and Dragsnes scored twice in nine games. Hanche-Olsen is the best defender in the game, but Dragsnes is sixth, which proves that the ability to score is not the most important aspect in a fantasy defender's game.

The goal potential (APS) is certainly to be considered when choosing a player, while the goal potential (CSP) is one of the most important aspects of the attractiveness of a defender. As mentioned before, goals against ESF are less common and we shouldn't consider Norwegian football lawyers as we do in the Premier League. That said, when it comes to clean sheets, it would be stupid to ignore them.

18 defenders have conceded 3 or more goals, seven of which are our boys who are in the top ten. Kitolano and Hanche-Olsen have them, but Borchgrevink, Hedenstad, Reginiussen and Valsvik have four. Similar to Hedenstad as the third best defender in the game despite not scoring a goal, Christian Borchgrevink is the ninth best defender in the game despite having four goals (common point). At this point it should be emphasized that only 12 points separate Hanche-Olsen (1st) and Borchgrevink (9th). Due to his substitution, Nasberg has conceded more goals than anyone else (5), while Valerenga Viking led 2-0 despite the 2-1 end.

Even though they seem difficult to find, defenders win more goals than goals. For fantastic purposes, CSP definitely beats GSP, but maybe a combination of the two is the best way. I prefer a defender who may not have conceded as many goals as the others, but at least very likely will score because I don't trust just one route to score points. Football is hard to predict at best, so I want my eggs in as many baskets as possible.

However, clean leaves and goals are not the only way to earn points, as the ESF's bonus points system tends to reward "hard work" and "blocking" much more. as FPL. In addition, the contribution to the game of building and to indirect target retention / prevention is another area in which lawyers can be rewarded by the BFP.

Joachim Thomassen , Mikkel Desler and Birk Risa have no goals . In this article, don't be surprised if their names appear in other areas of analysis. These boys (though they haven't scored yet) are heavily involved in the attack game and help defend themselves by keeping the sheets clean.

(Goals / conceded goals: Hanche-Olsen 2: 3, Nasberg 1: 5, Hedenstad 0: 4, Reginiussen 0: 4, Valsvik 1: 4, Dragsnes 2: 2, Kitolano 1: 3, Solheim 0: 3, Borchgrevink 0: 4, Nakkim 1: 2).

2) help

If you have a defender in your squad who can catch assists here and there, there can be a difference between a green and a red arrow most weeks. At FPL we believe that Trent Alexander-Arnold is very important as his attack potential (AP) is very high due to the number of assists he constantly produces week after week. He is one of the most important players in one of the best defense mechanisms in the world, but he actually has more assists than goals (15-14). (He has as many fantasy points as Jamie Vardy).

In Norway we have Alexander Stolas . Does Alexander mean "like to help" in the language of fantasy football or something like that? He scored four goals and eight assists in 2018, while scoring three goals and five assists last season. His minutes this season have been sporadic due to injuries so far, but he's one of the players most intelligent managers will have on his radar because his AP is completely insane when he's in full swing. To form.

Four of our ten are successful for real assistants, Hedenstad, Kitolano and Solheim in two and Borchgrevink in one. While fantasy tools are included, we allow ourselves a broader understanding of where our points come from. Since an assist can be a blocked shot that brings a penalty that turns later, or something as simple as a deflected flank, it is really important that we don't only consider defenders who are only effective in real football. - We need both halves. this specific equation to get the correct answer.

Solheim and Nakkim are the only players in our ten who benefit from fantasy assists. They bring their respective sums to 3 and 1. Desler sneaks into the top ten for total assists (1 real, 1 fantasy) with Christofer Aasbak and Martin Bjørnbak also goes from 1 to 2 Fredrik Bjørkan is the only defender, 3 assists in the real world has quickly claimed to be the best offensive defender in the league.

Currently, only 11 defenders have two or more assists, making it a luxury event more than anything else. We shouldn't forget that half of our top ten have no support. At this point it is becoming increasingly clear to me that our defenders are versatile players and offer different ways of scoring. It seems silly enough to face one or two defenders just because they scored more or more goals than their peers. It's not like comparing Kasper Junker to Benjamin Kallman for goals scored, we're dealing with much smaller margins, and that shouldn't be forgotten.

Vidar Ari Jonsson is a prime example that a defender who is only rewarded for his offensive performance is not necessarily a great fantasy option. He has two assists (only two defenders have more), but he only has 12 points in 660 minutes. He only missed one game (ironically a 1-0 win) and his two assists came in the same game. It has no clean leaves, no lenses, no BFP. But judging it only with help seems like a good option. Fantasy football is full of traps and the AP for defenders certainly creates obstacles that guide us.

(Assists: Hanche-Olsen 0, Nasberg 0, Hedenstad 2, Reginiussen 0, Valsvik 0, Dragsnes 0, Kitolano 2, Solheim 3, Borchgrevink 1, Nakkim 1).

3) Shooting / target shooting

Last season, Mjondalen was the team of choice for defenders who are likely to score / assist and are again ahead of their rivals when it comes to taking risks. Sondre Solholm Johansen had 16 shots (1.78 per game) but only 4 (25%) were on target. Nakkim is second in the overall shots (10) and first in the shots at the target (6). He only met once. His participation in the attack game is certainly encouraging, his conversion rate is a little less attractive. The only other player that appears in the top 10 of the shooting range is Hanche-Olsen (5/4). If you don't know why 42.3% of managers have this type, don't. He is the most successful defender in the game for a reason. For many reasons, indeed. I played with the idea of ​​sending him to my team for a cheaper alternative. Then I started writing this article and I've been thinking differently since then. It ticks all the right boxes.

Sarpsborgs Thomassen is back in sight with 5 shots (3 at the target), as is the odd duo Ruud and Risa (2 shots at 7 and 4 respectively). Björkan sits with 6 shots directly behind Ruud (2 to the target). Most of our list is not impressive in this area. Nakkim views the recordings at 1.11 every 90 minutes. He is almost twice as good as Hanche-Olsen (0.56) and much better than team-mate Dragsnes (0.44). Borchgrevink has a respectable 0.45, but they're all way back.

Ari Jonsson had the same number of shots as Hanche-Olsen (5), but found it much more difficult to hit the target (only one of his shots hit the target) and reiterated that we want quality rather than quantity. Losing chances is not important to us: we want free-kick attempts on the goal, let's say a head shot from a solid piece, instead of shooting from 25 meters. Please note that this is a guide that we can use to point towards the points rather than being complete.

There is not much correlation here, which is why I value this part of our analysis much less than other areas. I don't think we should be overly concerned about the number of shots our defenders take, because it will never be a particularly high number anyway, and if they shoot, they will likely come from pieces or make a game. Ball, etc ... We can come to a different result over the course of the season, but I don't mind at the moment, the points are somewhere else.

(Shots / shots at the target: Hanche-Olsen 5/4, Nasberg 1/1, Hedenstad 1/1, Reginiussen 1/0, Valsvik 2/1, Dragsnes 4/3, Kitolano 1/1, Solheim 1/0, Borchgrevink 4/1, Nakkim 10/6).

4) Passports / precise passports / accuracy of fit%

Here the correlation drops. Our top scorers are not the type you have to pass. This is one of those attributes that you would assign to ball centers before attacking the full pages that are used in a very direct system. The main conclusion is that Nasberg is quite involved in the Valerenga flight game. The head office is responsible for 13.5% of the total passes of Valerenga (542) and only Marius Lode de Bodo / Glimt (729 - 99.3 templates / game) and Odd, the mythical name of Odin Bjortuft (588), have more . Nasberg also ranks 3rd for accurate passes (474 ​​- 87.5%) behind the same two players.

Bodo / Glimt Bjorkan (477/427), Marius Hoibraten (478/429) and Alfons Sampsted (495/428) are among the top ten in both categories, while Björnbak de Molde (480/418) is also present. . When we examined the numbers behind Zinckernagel, Hauge, Saltnes and Berg last week, it became clear that this team passed this analysis and, according to this analysis, does not only apply to midfield. .

Espen Ruud draws attention with Desler (470/417) and Risa (412/325) (479/375). Only two of our top ten have an accuracy of less than 72% and only one has played less than 200 passes. If we look at the passes played and the fantasy points, there is little evidence that one particularly affects the other. Despite all of his templates, Lode only won 3 BFP (all in one game) and Hoibraten and Sampsted don't have any. It's always good for our defenders to kick the ball, but we're not interested in the center-back passes that are played every time they get the ball.

(Success / precise passports / accuracy of fit%: Hanche-Olsen 411/342 / 83.2%, Nasberg 542/474 / 87.5%, Hedenstad 542/288 / 79.8%, Reginiussen 415/346 / 83, 4% , Valsvik 387/293 / 75.7%, Dragsnes 216/144 / 66.7%, Kitolano 264/214 / 81.1%, Solheim 313/217 / 69.3%, Borchgrevink 439/369 / 84, 1% , Nakkim 387/282 / 72.9%).

5) Precise opposition passes / third end passes

With 173 exact passes in the opposite half of the field (47.9%) and 98 exact passes in the last third (27.1%), Rosenborg's Hedenstad is by far the most effective offensive defender in our top 10. Around half of his total Passports were in the opposite half of the field, with more than a quarter in the last third, an accomplishment that none of our other defenders could match. It certainly helps to have a firm kick, but it also shows how your mindset affects your style of play.

The comparison of our top ten with the top ten in this category shows only a very low correlation: None of our defenders presented belongs to the top ten. Hedenstad, just behind Adekugbe, is fine, but overall there is no real connection between these statistics and fantasy points. Ruud and Desler are 4th and 5th respectively, with Lode and Bjorkan being the first two in both categories. This Glimt team applies its playing style to the rest of the league, regardless of whether everyone agrees or not. And it starts in the back. At least for me, I'm happy to ignore every Bodo / Glimt player in future reviews because he only plays with whom he plays.

Thomassen (103), Ruud (98), Hedenstad (98) and Desler (95) are very active for their teams in the last third and collect a total of 7 templates. (Thomassen also has 166 exact passports in the opposite half.) It is certainly not a revolutionary return, but it is an indication of its intent and gives us good reason to believe that further return attacks will inevitably follow. Björkan has the most assists of all defenders in the game and is currently second in the assists in the opposite half (251) and first in the assists in the last third (129). Throughout the season, players like Björkan, Ruud, Desler, Hedenstad and Thomassen are expected to be the players with the most assists.

Apart from Hedenstad, nobody really stands out here except Christian Borchgrevink. He played 146 assists in the opposite half and 77 in the last third. He and Hedenstad are the only players who have made a remarkable contribution to their teams in this aspect of the game, and for me that's pretty definite. Hedenstad is part of my squad but is being dropped due to injury concerns. And right now Borchgrevink is the one I want to bring with me. In many of the categories we've seen, his name is somewhere in the top ten or a few places behind. Complete and consistent players seem to be the type to take the bacon home. Defenders in particular.

Risa (156/81) and Anton Kralj (129/76) received special mentions with Bjortuft (171/50) and Sormo (111/71). Kralj would only be considered a valid fantasy good if he were in a better team. No matter how many points, templates, or offensive games you can throw, the players around you are not good enough to take advantage of these opportunities. At the end of the season, I think it's "what could have been" and will probably be a move to a bigger club. He seems to have an advantage over his teammates and is too good a player for a newly promoted club.

(Precise half opposition passes / third end passes: Hanche-Olsen 125/40, Nasberg 135/39, Hedenstad 173/98, Reginiussen 137/43, Valsvik 103/29, Dragsnes 84/49, Kitolano 100/55, Solheim 108/49, Borchgrevink 146/77, Nakkim 104/63).

6) Key passes / great opportunities created

Only Hedenstad (10) and Borchgrevink (9) are in the top ten of the Key Passes, Solheim is close with 5. Thomassen has the most in the division at 15, while Desler and Sormo have second place at 12. It shouldn't be too surprising that Björkan (9) and Ruud (9) are among the best in the league. Kralj is kind of a surprise at 7 (two more than Risa), while Alexander Stolas is at 6 (although they were all made ridiculous in the same game).

Solheim (3) and Borchgrevink (2) are our most impressive artists because of the great opportunities. It is not really an area associated with defenders, so there is no real gain in researching this. Solholm Johansen is the only other defender with 3 great options and there are only 5 defenders in the league who have 2. Ari Jonsson (9/2) is another promising fantasy asset that was abandoned by almost zero CSP and a poor AP for his presence. a poor team (Sandefjord) that doesn't want to score many goals.

For most of our supporters, this is not an area in which they shine. Bad correlation overall, but for Hedenstad and Borchgrevink, it may be a way to give their team more options and collect fantasy points in return.

(Key passports / great opportunities created: Hanche-Olsen 2/1, Nasberg 1/0, Hedenstad 10/0, Reginiussen 0/0, Valsvik 0/0, Dragsnes 1/0, Kitolano 4/1, Solheim 5/3, Borchgrevink 9/2, Nakkim 1/1).

7) precise crosses

Our top ten produced 28 exact crosses, 20 of which came from Hedenstad and Borchgrevink. Solheim scored 6 and Dragsnes and Kitolano both scored 1. All others were left blank. We can't expect our defenders to roam around, but if we can choose between a defender who is constantly trying to play the ball in the area and one who isn't everything. I'm just not interested, I know. what would you choose

Ruud (16) scored the most flanks (he has only played 644 minutes this season), Aasbak (11) finished second. Ari Jonsson does his best to keep up with the big ones and hits a 10-point crossover with Desler (9) and Thomassen (7). Stolas put the ball in the box six times in just 138 minutes, just like the exciting Anton Kralj. Björkan, Sormo and Risa narrowly miss the top ten with 5 each.

(Precise crosses: Hanche-Olsen 0, Nasberg 0, Hedenstad 10, Reginiussen 0, Valsvik 0, Dragsnes 1, Kitolano 1, Solheim 6, Borchgrevink 10, Nakkim 0).

8) Interceptions and tackles

While it is not Allsvenskan and we cannot expect our defenders to be rewarded for playing defense, we should take the time to consider this as bonus points are an issue. They are often overlooked in the game - they can provide much needed improvements and make a good game week a much better week.

Only 4 of our players are doubles for interceptions and only 5 for tackles. Borchgrevink in particular impresses with 13 interceptions and 15 tackles (7th overall at both tables), which contribute to 1.7 interceptions and tackles per game. For an offensive player who doesn't spend a lot of time battling restless strikers, I'd say he's pretty respectable.

Nasberg (15) is only caught by Pedersen (16) and Bjortuft (17) to intercept, but he has 4 insignificant duels, less than anyone else. Risa (15) and Bjorkan (12) are among the top ten in interceptions, and Bjorkan (19) is third in tackles. Desler and Ruud had 15 duels with the couple from Sandefjord, Ari Jonsson and Kralj. While these parts of the game are not translated directly into points for our defenders, it can help them earn some bonus points that even the proudest of their noses should never raise.

(Interceptions / tackles: Hanche-Olsen 10/5, Nasberg 4/15, Hedenstad 6/9, Reginiussen 14/9, Valsvik 7/11, Dragsnes 4/13, Kitolano 7/10, Solheim 6/7, Borchgrevink 13 / 15, Nakkim 7/18).

CONCLUSION

Hanche-Olsen is part of a strong Stabaek team that should end the season with a decent number of goals, while offering reasonable risk of attacking the goals themselves. Nasberg scored a goal from his only shot and took the opportunity to be substituted early to get the cleanest leaves in the league. That being said, it doesn't seem to offer much else, though it's a decent pen.

Hedenstad is one of the league's most efficient pass defenders, has some assists and plays for a team that likes to keep the sheets clean. Reginiussen is a solid central defender, but his age, combined with the lack of a goal threat, reduces his appeal. Valsvik is a younger version of Reginiussen in every respect and shouldn't offer much to attack the comeback.

Dragsnes has already scored a few goals and is part of a Mjondalen defense that few teams can easily break. He is a good marksman, but his passing game really disappointed him. Kitolano is one of the few defenders we see, whose talent spans multiple parameters. He has a goal, some assists, he's an accomplished passerby and he's trying to move the ball as far as possible. He also plays for the second best team in the league, which should definitely increase his attractiveness.

Solheim may not have scored, but he has three assists and the same amount of clean chips - it may be a good deal if he maintains that shape. Like Kitolano, Borchgrevink did well in most of the categories we analyzed to analyze our defenders. He is the player who stands out from Hedenstad and offers an exceptional price-performance ratio of only 5.1 m. Nakkim is not a conspicuous player and although he is in our top 10 I doubt he will still be there at the end of the season.

I moved in for the week and moved Hedenstad to Borchgrevink. Valerenga is in third place and looks good for the money. They are a good pass team that has the potential to take 3rd place after 30 games, despite fighting in front of the goal. After losing just ten minutes of play, he is absolutely nailed down and an integral part of his team's quest to win the "Rest of the League" trophy.

If Espen Ruud can maintain his fitness (he's 36 years old), it could be an explosive asset. He could have played almost two complete games less than Risa, but he had about the same amount of ball as he did. He has an average of 85 touches per game, a really incredible number. Desler and Thomassen performed well with Bjorkan in most of our categories. The main problem I have with Björkan is that it occupies a Bodo / Glimt slot. When Hauge leaves, he may take his place, but you can easily argue going with one of the Bergs or Satlnes.

Sormo should also be on everyone's lips because it is 4.7 meters tall, part of a defensive team like Kristiansund and looks like a threat in the future. Ari Jonsson and Kralj are arguably two of Sandefjord's top players and their numbers are promising, but they lack the quality that surrounds them, which means that offensive returns are likely to remain low no matter how well they play. (However, he already has two templates.) Although there are question marks about Stolas' physical condition, he looks good statistically. 6 key passes in a single game raised some eyebrows, but it will require a much smoother and more consistent performance before most of us are convinced to give 7.3m.

My defense consists of Andreas Hopmark, Bent Sormo, Christian Borchgrevink, Andreas Hanche-Olsen and Jesper Daland. I am more than happy that my main defenders are Sormo / Borchgrevink / Hanche-Olsen. As far as I can tell, I have a good combination of defense stability and attack potential. Hopmark can be downgraded (Heggheim and Betten Hansen in particular seem to offer excellent value), but if he can't offer as much in the future as his colleague Aasbak (4.9m), they're part of the same team and a defensive double. at Kristiansund it could be a differentiated approach in itself.

I have certainly found out a few things about some players since I entered the stats, and it has helped me feel more confident about choosing a team to believe in. A more analytical approach to the game gave me the confidence that I definitely miss in FPL. Last week I ended up with 87 points (28th overall) and in RD7 I had 100 (42nd overall). Between these two points there are an unsightly 25 points (a total of 31,479). I haven't had a major reconstructive surgery, that's the nature of fantasy football. You can be so successful that you are placed on the upper levels of higher society in the elite, and then, before you know it, you are face down on the floor wondering what just happened.

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